Oscar Watch: First, the Golden Globes…
Most-Out-in-Front Front-Runner: You don’t need oddsmakers to tell you Heath Ledger is the pick to win at Sunday’s Golden Globes. But if you’re curious, check out Ladbrokes.com—the late Dark Knight star is listed as a prohibitive 1-12 favorite for Best Supporting Actor.
Longest of Longshots: According to Ladbrokes, Tropic Thunder cameo artist Tom Cruise has about as much chance of upsetting Ledger as The Reader does at ruining Slumdog Millionaire’s happy ending. To be specific about it: That’s a slim, 25-1 chance.
Reading the Writing in the Bookie Notepads: Cruise is not attending the Globes.
Tightest Race: Best Drama Actress, per BetUS.com, which has Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married), Meryl Streep (Doubt) and Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road) in a dogfight. Who gets the edge?
Hathaway, who, if you asked the terribly British Brits at the Guardian, could use the acceptance-speech practice.
Don’t Be Surprised If… You’re not surprised by the other big Globe winners. Oddsmakers expect Sean Penn (Milk) and Penélope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona) to do what they’ve done all award season: win.
Most Irrelevant Snubs: That The Dark Knight isn’t up for Best Motion Picture, Drama and Christopher Nolan isn’t up for Best Director on Sunday no longer matters. After snagging nominations this past week from Hollywood’s top alphabet organizations (DGA, PGA, WGA), both are locks for top Oscar nominations.
Most Irrelevant Category: Best Motion Picture, Comedy. BetUs and Ladbrokes aren’t even taking action on it. And, no, this does not bode well for In Bruges‘ Oscar dream, it was noted ironically.
Most Muddled Storyline: Fox News columnist Roger Friedman is calling on SAG voters to cast a Best Actress vote for Winslet for The Reader, a movie for which she’s getting the Best Supporting Actress push, because he thinks she could win the Oscar for that role and not for Revolutionary Road, the movie for which she is getting the Best Actress push. Trying to clarifying things, New York Magazine declares the idea stupid.
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